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  • 16:04 - 18.11.2008 News >> 2008
    A trail of despair followed the Kiwi Dollar last week, with grim economic data revealing retail sales tumbling for a third consecutive quarter and investors continuing to curb their appetite for risk. The tightening of demands for carry trades reflects a bearish outlook for the NZD and as fears of a global recession intensify the Kiwi is likely to experience increased selling pressures. Deteriorating fundamentals continues to spur bets that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will aggressively cut borrowing costs well into the next year in order to avoid a deep and severe recession. Volatility is likely to remain…
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  • 16:02 - 18.11.2008 News >> 2008
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  • 15:59 - 18.11.2008 News >> 2008
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  • 09:01 - 12.11.2008 News >> 2008
    Deteriorating fundamentals dragged on the New Zealand Dollar last week as the unemployment rate spiked to its highest level since 2003, and may face further headwinds over the coming week as further economic news continues to reflect a dour outlook for the NZ economy. In addition, interest rate expectations could also stoke increased selling pressures for the high-yielding currency as we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to aggressively cut borrowing costs well into the next year. » No Comments There are no comments up to now. » Post Comment Only registered users can write a comment. Read more...
  • 08:57 - 12.11.2008 News >> 2008
    In what promises to be another volatile week for the Aussie Dollar, the RBA is set to release its Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement, which is likely to offer familiar rhetoric justifying a further reduction of borrowing costs. Many analysts are now suggesting we may see a further 1 ½ points come off the base rate in Australia. » No Comments There are no comments up to now. » Post Comment Only registered users can write a comment.
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AUD seven month low against the US Dollar

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Tuesday, 19 August 2008

Last week the Aussie Dollar lost a lot of ground against the Pound and reached a seven month low against the US Dollar. With fresh concerns over slowing global growth, risk aversions has been raised and therefore those who have been profiting from carry trades have pulled their investment from the currency, resulting in the Aussie Dollar losing ground.

The same concerns over global growth have pushed commodity prices down, putting further pressure on the currency as Australia is one of the world’s major exporters of natural resources. Reaction to the gloomy outlook came through the Deputy Governor ‘Ric Battellino’ who commented that the Reserve Bank of Australia were keen to act by cutting rates before inflation declines sharply.

The Aussie Dollar is expected to remain under pressure as the mass unwinding of carry trades continues. However, despite the poor Dollar outlook the GBP/AUD cross is expected to push back in the Aussie’s favour as the Pound struggles under pressure of an interest rate cut. Therefore for those with an immediate need for Aussie Dollars, it might be wise to take advantage of the short term gains in the market. Whilst for those who perhaps need Australian Dollars in the future, the dramatic favourable movement in the market means that one can now buy forward at better rates of exchange than you could have bought on a spot contract only a few weeks ago.

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