Like everywhere else with a high yielding currency there was dramatic volatility
in the Australian dollar currency parings last week. However the Australian
Economy has become a rare breed posting almost unheard of figures among Northern
Hemisphere economies, with Bullish readings from both inflation and growth
data underpinning the Aussie dollar. Of course the Fed rate cut had its effect
here, completely reversing the previous weeks sell off of AUD. However unlike
every other central bank who is thinking of following suit and cutting base
rates, markets are pricing in a 47% chance of a February rate rise in Australia
following the inflation figures. It is still probably an outside chance however
as markets have all been stretched by recent events and the smart money would
be on a no change until the dust has settled. We expect a period of Aussie
dollar strength against the pound.
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