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Tuesday, 13 January 2009 |
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Last week saw Sterling rally against most major currencies including the Australian
Dollar and in contrast to the Pound, data from the Australian market was thin
on the ground yet having mixed results. November retail sales showed positive
growth, yet analysts cited fast-falling utility and fuel prices as a major
driver of retail gains - leaving little hope for sustained improvement. Whilst
relatively positive data was out, the latest trade surplus and number of building
approvals were lower.
The fast deterioration of the global economy continues to threaten demand for
Australian exports. As this demand falls Australian export industries, and
by extension the currency, are likely to feel the effects.
Data out is fairly light this week, Wednesday provides Australian home loans
for December which is an important indicator on activity in the housing market.
Thursday’s unemployment data for December is forecasted to increase which could
lead to the RBA seeking further rate cuts in the future. Otherwise, investor’s
attitude to global risk sentiment is likely to dictate the movement of the
Aussie Dollar.
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