Sterling maintained a generally firm tone during Friday as the underlying pressure
for a stronger correction downward continued.
The dollar was lower on Friday as risk appetite increased and demand for safe
haven flows declined. Non-farm payrolls fell the most since December 1974 and
the unemployment rate reached the highest level since September 1992. The US
Dollar weakened against both Sterling and the Euro in the immediate aftermath,
although market reaction to this release was relatively muted.
Sterling was supported by the Bank of England's announcement that the BOE
may start buying commercial paper next week and UK industrial production fell
1.7% in December after a 2.5% decline previously, maintaining fears over the
economy, and this was the worst performance since 1981.
The delayed release of Obama’s bank bailout plan has sharpened focus on key
outstanding issues, such as illiquid assets and the creation of a so-called
‘aggregator’ (government backed) bank to buy them. The FX market may be disappointed
by "watered down" policy initiatives.
The disappointment of the U.S bank bailout plan will undoubtedly weigh heavily
on the greenback and losses on cable up to 1.50 are expected. Dollar purchasers
should look to buy quickly as the rate looks for a good spike in your favour.
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